Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.552566 0.639724 0.735353 0.847954 0.976805 1.119537 1.289528
2025-05-25 0.398636 0.514466 0.654895 0.837168 1.066965 1.346491 1.711717
2025-06-01 0.315493 0.440615 0.603656 0.830593 1.137084 1.535294 2.090386
2025-06-08 0.253154 0.377598 0.549759 0.803597 1.166297 1.663478 2.393786
2025-06-15 0.229558 0.362008 0.554725 0.852938 1.299544 1.939559 2.921195
2025-06-22 0.192043 0.319119 0.512967 0.826750 1.317617 2.050522 3.220205
2025-06-29 0.162589 0.283601 0.476437 0.801787 1.331478 2.152483 3.510926
2025-07-06 0.139759 0.255097 0.446527 0.782185 1.349214 2.258902 3.814805
2025-07-13 0.127201 0.241994 0.439713 0.798717 1.425756 2.463397 4.291715
2025-07-20 0.120258 0.237695 0.446982 0.839352 1.545876 2.748530 4.925598
2025-07-27 0.111939 0.229595 0.446296 0.865291 1.642160 3.000781 5.524415
2025-08-03 0.102546 0.218074 0.437798 0.875564 1.710569 3.209466 6.063663
2025-08-10 0.092182 0.203483 0.422276 0.871795 1.754424 3.381513 6.559043
2025-08-17 0.082137 0.188185 0.403614 0.859931 1.781949 3.526812 7.020025
2025-08-24 0.073899 0.175498 0.388523 0.853144 1.818024 3.690237 7.528017
2025-08-31 0.064808 0.159582 0.364716 0.825449 1.808828 3.765092 7.870504
2025-09-07 0.063319 0.160755 0.377377 0.876061 1.965160 4.177348 8.911729
2025-09-14 0.055926 0.146963 0.355550 0.849199 1.955337 4.254967 9.285046
2025-09-21 0.049522 0.134608 0.335396 0.823593 1.945201 4.330210 9.658515
2025-09-28 0.044228 0.124240 0.318541 0.803485 1.944839 4.425181 10.080261
2025-10-05 0.041718 0.120714 0.317544 0.820443 2.029866 4.709562 10.930667
2025-10-12 0.040768 0.121216 0.326439 0.862126 2.175981 5.138838 12.131222
2025-10-19 0.039036 0.119326 0.329111 0.888732 2.288885 5.503099 13.215424